rowid,state,year,candidate,forecast_prob,result,winflag
1,Alabama,2008,Sessions,1.0,Win,1
2,Alabama,2008,Figures,0.0,Lose,0
3,Alabama,2010,Shelby,1.0,Win,1
4,Alabama,2010,Barnes,0.0,Loss,0
5,Alaska,2008,Begich,1.0,Win,1
6,Alaska,2008,Stevens,0.0,Lose,0
7,Alaska,2010,Miller,0.71,Lose,0
8,Alaska,2010,Murkowski,0.21,Win,1
9,Alaska,2010,McAdams,0.08,Loss,0
10,Arizona,2010,Glassman,1.0,Win,1
11,Arizona,2010,McCain,0.0,Loss,0
12,Arizona,2012,Flake,0.96,Win,1
13,Arizona,2012,Carmona,0.04,Loss,0
14,Arkansas,2008,Pryor,1.0,Win,1
15,Arkansas,2010,Boozman,1.0,Win,1
16,Arkansas,2010,Lincoln,0.0,Loss,0
17,California,2012,Feinstein,1.0,Win,1
18,California,2012,Emken,0.0,Loss,0
19,Colorado,2008,M. Udall,1.0,Win,1
20,Colorado,2008,Schaeffer,0.0,Lose,0
21,Colorado,2010,Buck,0.65,Loss,0
22,Colorado,2010,Bennett,0.35,Win,1
23,Connecticut,2010,Blumenthal,1.0,Win,1
24,Connecticut,2010,McMahon,0.0,Loss,0
25,Connecticut,2012,Murphy,0.96,Win,1
26,Connecticut,2012,McMahon,0.04,Loss,0
27,Delaware,2008,Biden,1.0,Win,1
28,Delaware,2008,O'Connell,0.0,Lose,0
29,Delaware,2010,Coons,1.0,Win,1
30,Delaware,2010,O'Donnell,0.0,Loss,0
31,Delaware,2012,Carper,1.0,Win,1
32,Delaware,2012,Wade,0.0,Loss,0
33,Florida,2010,Rubio,0.97,Win,1
34,Florida,2010,Crist,0.03,Loss,0
35,Florida,2010,Meeks,0.0,Loss,0
36,Florida,2012,Nelson,1.0,Win,1
37,Florida,2012,Mack,0.0,Loss,0
38,Georgia,2008,Chambilss,0.88,Win,1
39,Georgia,2008,Martin,0.12,Lose,0
40,Georgia,2010,Isakson,1.0,Win,1
41,Georgia,2010,Thurmond,0.0,Loss,0
42,Hawaii,2010,Inouye,1.0,Win,1
43,Hawaii,2010,Cavasso,0.0,Loss,0
44,Hawaii,2012,Hirono,1.0,Win,1
45,Hawaii,2012,Lingle,0.0,Loss,0
46,Idaho,2008,Risch,1.0,Win,1
47,Idaho,2008,LaRocco,0.0,Lose,0
48,Idaho,2010,Crapo,1.0,Win,1
49,Idaho,2010,Sullivan,0.0,Loss,0
50,Illinois,2008,Durbin,1.0,Win,1
51,Illinois,2008,Sauerberg,0.0,Lose,0
52,Illinois,2010,Kirk,0.69,Win,1
53,Illinois,2010,Giannoulias,0.31,Loss,0
54,Indiana,2010,Coats,1.0,Win,1
55,Indiana,2010,Ellsworth,0.0,Loss,0
56,Indiana,2012,Donnelly,0.7,Win,1
57,Indiana,2012,Lingle,0.3,Loss,0
58,Iowa,2008,Harkin,1.0,Win,1
59,Iowa,2008,Reed,0.0,Lose,0
60,Iowa,2010,Grassley,1.0,Win,1
61,Iowa,2010,Conlin,0.0,Loss,0
62,Kansas,2008,Roberts,1.0,Win,1
63,Kansas,2008,Slattery,0.0,Lose,0
64,Kansas,2010,Moran,1.0,Win,1
65,Kansas,2010,Johnston,0.0,Loss,0
66,Kentucky,2008,McConnell,0.92,Win,1
67,Kentucky,2008,Lunsford,0.08,Lose,0
68,Kentucky,2010,Paul,1.0,Win,1
69,Kentucky,2010,Conway,0.0,Loss,0
70,Louisiana,2008,Landireu,1.0,Win,1
71,Louisiana,2008,Kennedy,0.0,Lose,0
72,Louisiana,2010,Vitter,1.0,Win,1
73,Louisiana,2010,Melancon,0.0,Loss,0
74,Maine,2008,Collins,1.0,Win,1
75,Maine,2008,Allen,0.0,Lose,0
76,Maine,2012,King,0.93,Win,1
77,Maine,2012,Summers,0.06,Loss,0
78,Maine,2012,Dill,0.01,Loss,0
79,Maryland,2010,Murkowski,1.0,Win,1
80,Maryland,2010,Wargotz,0.0,Loss,0
81,Maryland,2012,Cardin,1.0,Win,1
82,Maryland,2012,Bongino,0.0,Loss,0
83,Massachusetts,2008,Kerry,1.0,Win,1
84,Massachusetts,2008,Beatty,0.0,Lose,0
85,Massachusetts,2012,Warren,0.94,Win,1
86,Massachusetts,2012,Brown,0.06,Loss,0
87,Michigan,2008,Levin,1.0,Win,1
88,Michigan,2008,Hoogendyk,0.0,Lose,0
89,Michigan,2012,Stabenow,1.0,Win,1
90,Michigan,2012,Hoekstra,0.0,Loss,0
91,Minnesota,2008,Franken,0.52,Win,1
92,Minnesota,2008,Coleman,0.48,Lose,0
93,Minnesota,2012,Klobuchar,1.0,Win,1
94,Minnesota,2012,Bills,0.0,Loss,0
95,Mississippi,2008,Cochran,1.0,Win,1
96,Mississippi,2008,Fleming,0.0,Lose,0
97,Mississippi,2012,Wicker,1.0,Win,1
98,Mississippi,2012,Gore,0.0,Loss,0
99,Mississippi (special election),2008,Wicker,0.94,Win,1
100,Mississippi (special election),2008,Musgrove,0.06,Lose,0