rowid,Pollster,# of Polls,NCPP / AAPOR / Roper,Exclusively Live Caller With Cellphones,Methodology,Banned by 538,Historical Advanced Plus-Minus,Predictive    Plus-Minus,538 Grade,Mean-Reverted Bias,Races Called Correctly,Misses Outside MOE,Simple Average Error,Simple Expected Error,Simple Plus-Minus,Advanced Plus-Minus,Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus,Predictive Plus-Minus,# of Polls for Bias Analysis,Bias,Mean-Reverted Bias.1,House Effect
1,Selzer & Co.,43,yes,yes,Live,no,-1.9,-1.4,A+,R +0.0,86%,21%,4.2,5.6,-1.4,-1.9,-1.1,-1.4,30,R +0.0,R +0.0,D +0.1
2,Monmouth University,95,yes,yes,Live,no,-1.5,-1.3,A+,D +1.4,80%,17%,5.3,6.2,-0.8,-1.5,-1.1,-1.3,65,D +2.1,D +1.4,R +0.7
3,Field Research Corp. (Field Poll),25,yes,yes,Live,no,-2.5,-1.1,A+,R +1.2,100%,16%,3.9,5.7,-1.8,-2.5,-1.1,-1.1,18,R +3.3,R +1.2,D +0.6
4,ABC News/Washington Post,60,yes,yes,Live,no,-1.3,-1.1,A+,D +0.6,78%,5%,2.9,4.6,-1.8,-1.3,-0.9,-1.1,55,D +0.9,D +0.6,D +1.5
5,Elway Research,21,yes,yes,Live,no,-2.2,-1.1,A+,D +0.5,90%,5%,3.9,5.9,-1.9,-2.2,-0.9,-1.1,20,D +1.2,D +0.5,D +3.2
6,Ciruli Associates,17,yes,yes,Live,no,-2.1,-1.0,A+,R +0.7,94%,0%,3.6,5.6,-2.0,-2.1,-0.7,-1.0,16,R +2.1,R +0.7,R +2.5
7,SurveyUSA,777,yes,no,IVR/Online/Live,no,-1.1,-0.9,A,D +0.1,90%,16%,4.6,5.6,-1.0,-1.1,-1.0,-0.9,615,D +0.1,D +0.1,R +0.3
8,Muhlenberg College,26,yes,yes,Live,no,-1.3,-0.9,A,R +0.2,83%,8%,3.5,5.3,-1.9,-1.3,-0.6,-0.9,25,R +0.5,R +0.2,D +0.0
9,Marist College,159,yes,yes,Live,no,-0.9,-0.9,A,R +0.5,85%,19%,5.2,6.0,-0.8,-0.9,-0.7,-0.9,99,R +0.6,R +0.5,D +0.0
10,Grove Insight,29,no,yes,Live,no,-2.3,-0.8,A,D +0.5,90%,7%,3.1,5.1,-2.0,-2.3,-1.1,-0.8,29,D +1.0,D +0.5,D +3.4
11,National Journal,12,yes,yes,Live,no,-2.4,-0.8,A,R +0.2,100%,0%,2.6,5.3,-2.7,-2.4,-0.7,-0.8,12,R +0.6,R +0.2,D +0.3
12,Public Policy Institute of California,12,yes,yes,Live,no,-2.0,-0.8,A,R +0.7,100%,8%,4.1,6.2,-2.1,-2.0,-0.6,-0.8,8,R +3.4,R +0.7,R +1.0
13,University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll),38,yes,yes,Live,no,-1.0,-0.8,A,R +1.5,93%,16%,3.7,5.5,-1.8,-1.0,-0.6,-0.8,29,R +3.0,R +1.5,R +2.3
14,Siena College,60,yes,yes,Live,no,-0.9,-0.8,A,D +0.1,82%,15%,4.9,5.3,-0.3,-0.9,-0.6,-0.8,56,D +0.1,D +0.1,R +0.7
15,Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind),18,yes,yes,Live,no,-1.4,-0.7,A,D +0.0,94%,6%,4.1,5.4,-1.3,-1.4,-0.5,-0.7,17,D +0.1,D +0.0,D +3.1
16,Fox News/Anderson Robbins Research/Shaw & Co. Research,31,yes,yes,Live,no,-0.9,-0.7,A,D +0.6,69%,35%,5.6,6.0,-0.4,-0.9,-0.5,-0.7,16,D +1.8,D +0.6,D +0.9
17,Marquette University Law School,9,yes,yes,Live,no,-2.5,-0.7,A,D +0.3,78%,11%,3.3,5.8,-2.5,-2.5,-0.6,-0.7,6,D +1.5,D +0.3,R +0.0
18,Research & Polling Inc.,27,no,yes,Live,no,-1.7,-0.6,A,R +0.5,85%,7%,4.3,5.6,-1.3,-1.7,-0.8,-0.6,26,R +1.1,R +0.5,R +1.2
19,Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain),7,yes,yes,Live,no,-2.6,-0.6,A-,D +0.1,71%,0%,3.5,6.5,-3.0,-2.6,-0.5,-0.6,5,D +0.6,D +0.1,R +2.1
20,Blum & Weprin Associates,18,no,yes,Live,no,-2.6,-0.6,A-,R +1.0,94%,11%,4.6,5.2,-0.6,-2.6,-1.0,-0.6,16,R +3.0,R +1.0,D +1.2
21,CBS News/New York Times,53,yes,yes,Live,no,-0.5,-0.5,A-,D +0.4,76%,17%,4.6,5.3,-0.7,-0.5,-0.3,-0.5,43,D +0.7,D +0.4,D +1.8
22,University of Arkansas,6,yes,yes,Live,no,-3.1,-0.5,A-,D +0.6,100%,0%,3.8,5.3,-1.6,-3.1,-0.5,-0.5,6,D +3.8,D +0.6,R +3.9
23,University of Connecticut,7,yes,yes,Live,no,-1.7,-0.5,A-,R +0.4,93%,0%,3.6,5.5,-1.9,-1.7,-0.3,-0.5,7,R +1.9,R +0.4,R +2.0
24,Los Angeles Times,38,yes,yes,Live,no,-0.4,-0.5,A-,R +0.4,86%,16%,5.0,6.2,-1.2,-0.4,-0.2,-0.5,23,R +1.0,R +0.4,D +0.7
25,IBD/TIPP,21,no,yes,Live,no,-1.5,-0.5,A-,R +0.8,71%,5%,2.2,3.7,-1.5,-1.5,-0.6,-0.5,21,R +1.9,R +0.8,R +1.4
26,RKM Research and Communications Inc.,28,no,yes,Live,no,-1.3,-0.4,A-,R +0.2,88%,18%,5.3,6.2,-0.9,-1.3,-0.6,-0.4,20,R +0.5,R +0.2,R +1.5
27,MassINC Polling Group,14,no,yes,Live,no,-2.4,-0.4,A-,R +0.4,86%,7%,3.2,6.3,-3.1,-2.4,-0.8,-0.4,10,R +1.7,R +0.4,R +0.9
28,Elon University,7,yes,yes,Live,no,-1.2,-0.4,A-,D +0.5,50%,0%,3.2,4.7,-1.4,-1.2,-0.2,-0.4,7,D +2.7,D +0.5,D +1.1
29,Quinnipiac University,195,yes,yes,Live,no,-0.3,-0.4,A-,D +0.1,85%,23%,4.6,5.5,-0.9,-0.3,-0.3,-0.4,143,D +0.1,D +0.1,D +0.5
30,SSRS,5,yes,yes,Live,no,-1.5,-0.4,A-,R +0.1,20%,20%,3.1,4.1,-1.0,-1.5,-0.2,-0.4,5,R +0.5,R +0.1,D +1.0
31,Angus Reid Global,30,no,no,Online,no,-1.9,-0.4,A-,R +1.3,93%,3%,3.2,4.9,-1.7,-1.9,-0.9,-0.4,30,R +2.6,R +1.3,D +0.9
32,University of North Florida,6,yes,yes,Live,no,-1.0,-0.4,A-,D +0.5,50%,0%,4.0,6.1,-2.1,-1.0,-0.2,-0.4,4,D +4.0,D +0.5,D +1.6
33,Western New England University,12,yes,yes,Live,no,-0.4,-0.3,A-,R +1.1,88%,25%,5.6,5.7,-0.1,-0.4,-0.1,-0.3,11,R +3.9,R +1.1,R +0.3
34,NBC News/Wall Street Journal,27,yes,yes,Live,no,-0.2,-0.3,A-,D +0.8,72%,15%,4.2,5.1,-0.9,-0.2,-0.1,-0.3,22,D +1.9,D +0.8,D +1.4
35,St. Norbert College,12,no,yes,Live,no,-1.8,-0.3,A-,D +0.3,88%,0%,3.9,6.1,-2.3,-1.8,-0.5,-0.3,11,D +0.9,D +0.3,D +2.9
36,Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc.,420,no,yes,Live,no,-0.5,-0.3,B+,R +0.7,86%,20%,5.2,5.5,-0.2,-0.5,-0.5,-0.3,363,R +0.8,R +0.7,R +1.0
37,Lake Research Partners,10,no,yes,Live,no,-2.0,-0.3,B+,D +0.6,80%,10%,3.9,5.7,-1.7,-2.0,-0.5,-0.3,10,D +2.4,D +0.6,D +3.3
38,Abt Associates,8,yes,yes,Live,no,-0.4,-0.3,B+,D +0.7,88%,13%,4.1,5.2,-1.1,-0.4,-0.1,-0.3,7,D +3.8,D +0.7,D +0.7
39,Castleton University,3,yes,yes,Live,no,-1.2,-0.3,B+,,100%,0%,9.9,9.7,0.3,-1.2,-0.1,-0.3,0,,,
40,Emerson College,85,yes,no,IVR,no,-0.6,-0.3,B+,D +0.1,75%,16%,5.6,6.0,-0.3,-0.6,-0.4,-0.3,58,D +0.2,D +0.1,R +1.8
41,EPIC-MRA,45,no,yes,Live,no,-0.7,-0.3,B+,R +0.2,80%,18%,5.1,5.7,-0.5,-0.7,-0.4,-0.3,40,R +0.3,R +0.2,D +0.8
42,High Point University,2,yes,yes,Live,no,-4.6,-0.3,B+,D +0.0,100%,0%,1.0,4.5,-3.5,-4.6,-0.3,-0.3,2,D +0.1,D +0.0,D +1.8
43,Indiana University,2,yes,yes,Live,no,-4.4,-0.3,B+,D +0.1,100%,0%,0.9,5.8,-4.9,-4.4,-0.3,-0.3,2,D +0.9,D +0.1,D +4.1
44,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,98,yes,yes,Live,no,-0.1,-0.2,B+,D +0.1,72%,23%,5.4,5.7,-0.3,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,70,D +0.1,D +0.1,D +0.1
45,Fleming & Associates,15,no,yes,Live,no,-1.3,-0.2,B+,R +0.3,100%,0%,5.1,5.9,-0.8,-1.3,-0.4,-0.2,13,R +1.0,R +0.3,R +0.2
46,Princeton Survey Research Associates International,33,yes,yes,Live,no,0.0,-0.2,B+,D +0.3,70%,27%,4.8,5.0,-0.2,0.0,0.0,-0.2,31,D +0.5,D +0.3,R +0.2
47,Market Shares Corp.,26,yes,yes,Live,no,0.1,-0.2,B+,R +1.7,85%,19%,6.8,5.6,1.2,0.1,0.0,-0.2,22,R +4.1,R +1.7,R +2.0
48,Ward Research (Honolulu Star-Advertiser),14,no,yes,Live,no,-1.3,-0.2,B+,R +0.6,75%,29%,6.0,5.9,0.1,-1.3,-0.4,-0.2,14,R +1.7,R +0.6,D +0.7
49,University of Massachusetts Lowell,17,no,yes,Live,no,-1.1,-0.2,B+,R +0.2,88%,12%,4.5,6.4,-1.9,-1.1,-0.4,-0.2,9,R +0.8,R +0.2,R +0.7
50,University of South Alabama,8,no,yes,Live,no,-3.1,-0.2,B+,R +0.4,100%,0%,2.8,5.2,-2.4,-3.1,-0.7,-0.2,8,R +1.9,R +0.4,R +2.2
51,Winthrop University,1,yes,yes,Live,no,-3.9,-0.2,B+,D +0.0,100%,0%,0.2,4.2,-4.0,-3.9,-0.1,-0.2,1,D +0.2,D +0.0,R +0.9
52,University of Florida,1,yes,yes,Live,no,-2.0,-0.2,B+,D +0.0,50%,0%,1.1,4.9,-3.8,-2.0,-0.1,-0.2,1,D +1.1,D +0.0,R +0.9
53,National Research Inc.,8,no,yes,Live,no,-1.9,-0.2,B+,R +0.5,81%,13%,5.1,6.4,-1.4,-1.9,-0.4,-0.2,6,R +2.7,R +0.5,R +4.6
54,Stockton University,8,no,yes,Live,no,-1.9,-0.2,B+,D +0.3,100%,13%,3.6,5.2,-1.6,-1.9,-0.4,-0.2,8,D +1.5,D +0.3,D +0.2
55,Suffolk University,74,no,yes,Live,no,-0.4,-0.1,B+,D +0.6,81%,19%,5.0,6.4,-1.3,-0.4,-0.3,-0.1,44,D +1.0,D +0.6,D +2.0
56,Market Research Insight,7,no,yes,Live,no,-4.6,-0.1,B+,D +0.1,100%,0%,1.8,5.0,-3.2,-4.6,-0.9,-0.1,7,D +0.3,D +0.1,D +2.0
57,Montana State University Billings,7,no,yes,Live,no,-3.8,-0.1,B+,D +0.6,57%,0%,3.6,5.9,-2.3,-3.8,-0.7,-0.1,7,D +3.0,D +0.6,D +2.6
58,Data Orbital,7,no,yes,Live,no,-2.6,-0.1,B+,D +0.1,100%,0%,1.8,4.6,-2.8,-2.6,-0.5,-0.1,7,D +0.4,D +0.1,R +2.6
59,Riley Research Associates,7,no,yes,Live,no,-2.4,-0.1,B+,R +0.1,100%,0%,2.7,5.6,-2.9,-2.4,-0.5,-0.1,7,R +0.6,R +0.1,R +1.4
60,RT Strategies,42,yes,yes,Live,no,0.2,-0.1,B+,D +1.1,71%,40%,5.8,5.3,0.5,0.2,0.1,-0.1,42,D +1.9,D +1.1,D +3.5
61,University of Washington,9,no,yes,Live,no,-1.4,-0.1,B+,D +0.1,100%,0%,3.7,5.1,-1.4,-1.4,-0.3,-0.1,9,D +0.3,D +0.1,D +3.4
62,"Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall Inc.",14,no,yes,Live,no,-0.9,-0.1,B+,R +0.1,86%,7%,4.1,5.4,-1.3,-0.9,-0.3,-0.1,12,R +0.3,R +0.1,D +0.3
63,Ipsos,56,yes,no,Online,no,-0.3,-0.1,B+,D +0.6,75%,18%,4.4,4.8,-0.4,-0.3,-0.2,-0.1,50,D +1.0,D +0.6,D +1.3
64,Harstad Strategic Research Inc.,9,no,yes,Live,no,-1.3,-0.1,B+,D +0.8,72%,11%,3.8,5.8,-2.0,-1.3,-0.3,-0.1,9,D +3.4,D +0.8,D +3.1
65,Pan Atlantic SMS Group,17,no,yes,Live,no,-0.7,-0.1,B+,D +0.9,91%,24%,6.8,6.4,0.4,-0.7,-0.3,-0.1,15,D +2.8,D +0.9,D +1.5
66,Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group,23,no,yes,Live,no,-0.5,-0.1,B+,D +1.5,85%,35%,5.7,5.7,0.0,-0.5,-0.2,-0.1,23,D +3.5,D +1.5,D +4.6
67,American Viewpoint,6,no,yes,Live,no,-1.8,0.0,B+,R +0.6,67%,0%,4.0,5.6,-1.7,-1.8,-0.3,0.0,6,R +3.8,R +0.6,R +3.2
68,Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint,7,no,yes,Live,no,-1.5,0.0,B+,R +0.7,100%,57%,4.8,5.3,-0.4,-1.5,-0.3,0.0,5,R +4.9,R +0.7,D +1.8
69,Christopher Newport University,7,no,yes,Live,no,-1.5,0.0,B+,D +0.5,100%,14%,3.9,4.7,-0.8,-1.5,-0.3,0.0,7,D +2.6,D +0.5,D +1.2
70,Pharos Research Group,31,no,yes,Live,yes,-0.3,0.0,F,D +0.9,92%,16%,4.0,4.9,-0.9,-0.3,-0.2,0.0,31,D +1.7,D +0.9,D +0.9
71,Temple University,6,yes,no,Live*,no,-1.5,0.0,B,R +0.4,100%,17%,3.7,5.2,-1.6,-1.5,-0.3,0.0,5,R +2.5,R +0.4,D +0.8
72,Keating Research Inc.,5,no,yes,Live,no,-1.8,0.0,B,D +0.1,80%,0%,2.4,4.5,-2.1,-1.8,-0.3,0.0,5,D +0.9,D +0.1,D +3.0
73,Clemson University,5,no,yes,Live,no,-1.8,0.0,B,R +0.5,100%,40%,10.3,7.7,2.6,-1.8,-0.3,0.0,1,R +16.7,R +0.5,R +9.7
74,Public Policy Polling,411,no,no,IVR/Online,no,-0.4,0.0,B,D +0.3,80%,28%,4.9,5.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,0.0,292,D +0.3,D +0.3,D +1.0
75,Orion Strategies,4,no,yes,Live,no,-3.8,0.0,B,D +0.1,100%,0%,3.1,6.2,-3.2,-3.8,-0.4,0.0,3,D +1.3,D +0.1,D +6.3
76,Strategies 360,4,no,yes,Live,no,-3.0,0.0,B,R +0.1,63%,0%,2.0,5.3,-3.3,-3.0,-0.3,0.0,4,R +0.6,R +0.1,D +1.0
77,Landmark Communications,38,no,no,IVR/Online,no,-0.9,0.1,B,D +1.4,82%,18%,4.7,5.4,-0.7,-0.9,-0.5,0.1,32,D +2.7,D +1.4,R +0.5
78,YouGov,375,no,no,Online,no,-0.4,0.1,B,D +0.3,88%,25%,5.0,5.1,-0.1,-0.4,-0.3,0.1,327,D +0.3,D +0.3,D +0.3
79,Public Opinion Strategies,57,no,yes,Live,no,-0.1,0.1,B,R +1.5,68%,23%,6.0,5.8,0.2,-0.1,-0.1,0.1,55,R +2.3,R +1.5,R +4.3
80,Global Strategy Group/National Research (Philadelphia Inquirer),4,no,yes,Live,no,-1.6,0.1,B,R +0.3,100%,0%,3.0,5.0,-2.0,-1.6,-0.2,0.1,4,R +2.7,R +0.3,D +0.1
81,Strategic Vision LLC,129,no,no,Live*,yes,-0.4,0.1,F,R +1.9,88%,16%,4.0,5.0,-1.0,-0.4,-0.4,0.1,106,R +2.4,R +1.9,R +2.3
82,Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates,4,no,yes,Live,no,-1.5,0.1,B,D +0.3,75%,25%,6.3,6.2,0.2,-1.5,-0.2,0.1,3,D +3.4,D +0.3,R +2.3
83,Tarrance Group,24,no,yes,Live,no,-0.2,0.1,B,R +0.7,83%,21%,6.2,6.4,-0.2,-0.2,-0.1,0.1,20,R +1.7,R +0.7,R +5.4
84,Iowa State University,3,no,yes,Live,no,-3.5,0.1,B,,67%,33%,6.3,8.9,-2.6,-3.5,-0.3,0.1,0,,,
85,Missouri State University,3,no,yes,Live,no,-2.6,0.1,B,D +0.4,67%,0%,4.4,6.7,-2.3,-2.6,-0.2,0.1,3,D +4.1,D +0.4,D +1.2
86,Voter/Consumer Research,6,no,yes,Live,no,-0.9,0.1,B,D +0.1,100%,50%,5.5,5.7,-0.2,-0.9,-0.1,0.1,6,D +0.3,D +0.1,R +3.0
87,GBA Strategies,3,no,yes,Live,no,-1.9,0.1,B,R +0.0,67%,0%,4.7,6.1,-1.4,-1.9,-0.2,0.1,3,R +0.2,R +0.0,D +4.0
88,Mellman Group,21,no,yes,Live,no,-0.1,0.1,B,D +1.6,79%,14%,4.9,5.1,-0.2,-0.1,-0.1,0.1,21,D +4.0,D +1.6,D +5.4
89,Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Corp.,34,yes,no,Live*,no,-0.1,0.1,B,R +0.5,72%,9%,3.9,4.9,-1.0,-0.1,0.0,0.1,28,R +1.0,R +0.5,R +1.6
90,GfK Group,21,yes,no,Online,no,-0.1,0.1,B,D +0.3,88%,19%,3.9,4.8,-0.9,-0.1,-0.1,0.1,21,D +0.6,D +0.3,D +1.2
91,Market Decisions,4,no,yes,Live,no,-1.2,0.1,B,R +0.1,100%,25%,5.2,5.1,0.0,-1.2,-0.1,0.1,4,R +0.5,R +0.1,D +0.4
92,Richmond Times-Dispatch,4,no,yes,Live,no,-1.1,0.1,B,D +0.3,100%,0%,3.3,4.6,-1.3,-1.1,-0.1,0.1,4,D +2.9,D +0.3,D +2.4
93,Y2 Analytics,4,no,yes,Live,no,-1.0,0.1,B,D +0.3,100%,50%,9.6,5.7,3.9,-1.0,-0.1,0.1,3,D +3.3,D +0.3,R +6.5
94,New England College,15,no,no,IVR,no,-1.4,0.2,B,R +0.6,77%,0%,3.0,4.9,-1.9,-1.4,-0.5,0.2,15,R +1.9,R +0.6,R +3.5
95,McKeon & Associates,2,no,yes,Live,no,-6.5,0.2,B,R +0.0,100%,0%,0.9,6.5,-5.5,-6.5,-0.4,0.2,1,R +0.9,R +0.0,R +2.0
96,RBI Strategies & Research,2,no,yes,Live,no,-6.4,0.2,B,R +0.0,100%,0%,0.7,5.4,-4.6,-6.4,-0.4,0.2,1,R +0.7,R +0.0,D +3.5
97,Frederick Polls,2,no,yes,Live,no,-5.0,0.2,B,R +0.0,75%,0%,2.4,6.4,-4.0,-5.0,-0.3,0.2,1,R +0.6,R +0.0,D +3.0
98,APC Research,2,no,yes,Live,no,-3.4,0.2,B,D +0.2,100%,0%,2.5,5.4,-2.8,-3.4,-0.2,0.2,2,D +2.5,D +0.2,R +0.6
99,Tulchin Research,2,no,yes,Live,no,-3.0,0.2,B,R +0.2,100%,0%,3.5,4.9,-1.5,-3.0,-0.2,0.2,2,R +3.5,R +0.2,D +3.2
100,Harper Polling,11,no,no,IVR,no,-1.8,0.2,B,D +0.1,91%,9%,3.6,5.8,-2.3,-1.8,-0.5,0.2,8,D +0.5,D +0.1,R +1.1